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Power Crunch Strategy
Market-driven load management shaves peaks, saves money
December, 2000, Rural Electrification Magazine
- During the 1960s and 1970s utilities built 30 percent more generating
capacity than was ultimately needed. That led to a 20-year dry
spell in construction of nuclear, coal and gas generation plants.
Regulators in many states mandated load management programs to
put off the need for new power plants.
Then came deregulation. Some observers said let
the market take care of power supply. Utilities slashed demand-side
management programs and tabled plans for new load-management systems.
Their logic was that the market, not the regulators, would drive
both the supply side and demand side of the energy business. This
summer news stories highlighted problems with deregulation. California's
ISO (Independent System Operator) declared 17 Stage Two alerts.
Utilities cut power to businesses. San Diego customers saw bills
triple and burned their bills in street protests.
Analysis of the past three summer price spikes shows
a contributing factor is the lack of the most fundamental concepts
of supply and demand in a competitive wholesale market: elasticity.
Because electricity cannot be stored, nor its use avoided, consumers
will have less choice to react to price signals than with other
products. Nonetheless, it is becoming increasingly clear that
dusting off those old load-management concepts and using them
as the underlying basis of new initiatives can add an element
of price signals and needed consumer elasticity.
This latest power crunch has cost many customers
and some utilities dearly. In this bet-your-company era, the market
will exact terrible penalties on those who don't heed its signals,
says William M. Smith, manager of market-driven load management
for EPRI. "California's PG&E and Southern California
Edison lost $2 billion each," says Smith. "If you sold
the companies you'd get $6 billion for PG&E and for Southern
California Edison you'd get $3 billion. So about one-third and
two-thirds of the sale value of the utilities just went up in
smoke this summer."
Smith sees load management as the next new technology
with profound effects in a deregulated market. It will involve
a free flow of information and transactions between suppliers
and purchasers, an "Electrinet"-the electric power equivalent
to the Internet. Customers will shape their electric demand patterns.
Although this change will likely take 15 years, says Smith, some
tools for moving to a real-time, interactive market are already
here. The tools are the Internet, paging and wireless technology.
Smith explains: "EPRI's market-driven load
management initiative addresses working with the customer under
deregulation to help optimize the entire supply/demand balance.
It applies to situations that involve capacity excesses as well
as capacity constraints, using the customer as a resource to trade
'negawatts,' and facilitating the customer's ability to save or
even make money under deregulation using energy management systems.
These approaches will help deal with economic aspects, like spiking
spot prices in capacity-constrained areas, and economic development
in capacity rich areas. The suite of five programs will also help
utilities cope with physical constraints like transmission and
distribution congestion and generation unavailability, as we did
under regulation."
Smith says electric cooperatives shouldn't just
look at demand peaks. "You used to look at the system peak
load shape. Nowadays you better look at the whole load duration
curve and ask how you can more economically use your assets."
Smith said he believes that to make the new load-management
programs successful will require enhanced technology usage in
areas such as metering and two-way electronic communications via
such media as the Internet and paging.
Cannon Technologies is one supplier that still supports
older load-management systems, but is moving to an Internet and
paging load-control system.
The new system allows a co-op to add to a legacy
load-management system or build a new system incrementally, with
lots of flexibility, features and, best of all, at a lower cost.
By using Cannon Technologies' new LCR 5000 load control receiver,
their Web-based application server, called loadcontrol.com, and
Motorola's 900 MHz FLEX® paging technology, the installed
cost is about $150 per receiver.
"It used to be that the cost of one switch
included the cost of the whole master station and the communication
infrastructure. That is no longer the case," says Joel Cannon,
vice president of Cannon Technologies. In fact, the setup is so
easy and the cost so low that Cannon has set up "free samples"
as part of recent bid requests, he says.
The LCR 5000 was a new switch design, says Cannon.
"The communication port can transfer a message to a serial
port so you can implement applications like communicating with
a thermostat," Cannon adds. Two frequencies are also available,
with one dedicated for a backup pager.
Several co-ops are trying out the new switch and
Internet-based load-control option. John Louk, manager of electronic
field engineering for Wabash Valley Power Association in Indianapolis,
says he is testing 200 LCR 5000 switches and installing them at
substations and other locations. Wabash Valley also has a load-management
system using Scientific Atlanta equipment and satellite and VHF
radio for communication.
Louk says, "The biggest advantage, if we go
into a full blown implementation of this, is that we do not have
to build an infrastructure-not a single transmitter or tower."
They won't have to hassle with the FCC licensing either, he adds.
Wabash Valley controls air conditioners with a 50
percent shed strategy. "Cannon set this up on their server,"
says Louk. "We go on the Internet, use passwords to get through
a firewall, and with a click of the mouse pick a strategy and
the time we want it to start and stop. Their server in Minneapolis
dials up the paging provider. They send out the proper codes and
message to the switch. The switch decodes it and says that message
is for me."
He says it all happens in less than a minute.
Louk says that ACES Power Marketing now schedules
the load management system for Wabash Valley. "It is all
part of the tools you have to use, and you start to treat load
management as distributed capacity."
Wabash Valley plans to include commercial and industrial
(C&I) customers in the new scheme. "The FLEX technology
Cannon uses does have two-way capability, Louk says. "We
envision giving our C&I accounts a Web address and their own
password so they can look at their load profile. There has to
be a synergy there. You really have to be straight with the customer,
and they have to trust you."
Roger Rognli, load management coordinator for Great
River Energy in Elk River, Minn., says he uses a mix of load-management
technology, including Scientific Atlanta and ABB Power T&D
Company's EMETCOM system. The load-management network serves 29
distribution cooperatives with more than 120,000 switches.
Rognli is testing 50 of Cannon's new LCR 5000 switches.
The Internet aspect is familiar to Rognli. Great River Energy
already allows member co-ops to program and override their receivers
remotely through the Internet.
"That's not real new to us. What's intriguing
about using the pager system is the cheap infrastructure,"
says Rognli. "It's really built for speed."
Steven Lindenberg, executive director of research
and technical services for NRECA, warns, "Co-ops really need
to pay attention to the investment they have made in load management
as we go through the restructuring process. They want to make
sure whatever value they have in the system can be maintained."
Lindenberg's commitment to load management is underscored
by his organization, Cooperative Research Network, joining the
board of directors of a new Peak Load Management Alliance. Its
mission is to foster a better understanding of the new potential
of load management in a deregulated environment. Members include
TXU Energy Service, Cinergy, EPRI, EEI, E-Source, New York Mercantile
Exchange, Cannon Technologies and NRECA.
Reprinted with permission from the December 2000
issue of Rural Electrification Magazine.
For more information contact:
Jim Losleben
Director of Business Development
Cannon Technologies, Inc.
1212 E. Wayzata Blvd.
Wayzata, MN 55391
jim@cannontech.com
651.686.9547
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